Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.015988 0.017823 0.019670 0.021664 0.023751 0.025866 0.028165
2025-04-13 0.011738 0.014488 0.017383 0.020630 0.024143 0.027809 0.031900
2025-04-20 0.009987 0.013287 0.016872 0.020994 0.025548 0.030381 0.035854
2025-04-27 0.008373 0.012011 0.016084 0.020875 0.026264 0.032065 0.038713
2025-05-04 0.006923 0.010754 0.015179 0.020500 0.026586 0.033220 0.040901
2025-05-11 0.005981 0.009999 0.014769 0.020612 0.027386 0.034846 0.043551
2025-05-18 0.005099 0.009226 0.014269 0.020560 0.027949 0.036162 0.045817
2025-05-25 0.004214 0.008359 0.013589 0.020240 0.028157 0.037039 0.047555
2025-06-01 0.003567 0.007742 0.013170 0.020193 0.028648 0.038210 0.049597
2025-06-08 0.002919 0.007050 0.012607 0.019932 0.028857 0.039031 0.051221
2025-06-15 0.002457 0.006574 0.012290 0.019948 0.029371 0.040186 0.053205
2025-06-22 0.001947 0.005958 0.011746 0.019648 0.029483 0.040855 0.054617
2025-06-29 0.001469 0.005345 0.011207 0.019382 0.029683 0.041690 0.056302
2025-07-06 0.000881 0.004394 0.010131 0.018391 0.028985 0.041468 0.056777
2025-07-13 0.000695 0.004174 0.010089 0.018737 0.029919 0.043162 0.059458
2025-07-20 0.000459 0.003758 0.009720 0.018624 0.030265 0.044143 0.061297
2025-07-27 0.000244 0.003270 0.009194 0.018269 0.030286 0.044719 0.062649
2025-08-03 0.000139 0.003014 0.009015 0.018375 0.030880 0.045975 0.064790
2025-08-10 0.000055 0.002715 0.008736 0.018326 0.031264 0.046968 0.066613
2025-08-17 0.000004 0.002344 0.008294 0.018024 0.031306 0.047535 0.067923
2025-08-24 NaN 0.002095 0.008042 0.017979 0.031672 0.048487 0.069682
2025-08-31 NaN 0.001798 0.007665 0.017732 0.031761 0.049092 0.071020
2025-09-07 NaN 0.001608 0.007472 0.017747 0.032185 0.050103 0.072837